3. Identification of risks
Describe the risk factors which could have negative impact on the security of gas supply in the Member State, their likelihood and consequences. Non-exhaustive list of types of risk factors that have to be included in the assessment only if applicable according to the competent authority: political gas disruption from third countries because of different reasons, political unrest (either in country of origin or in transit country), war/civil war (either in country of origin or in transit country), terrorism; technological explosion/fires, fires (internal to a given facility), leakages, lack of adequate maintenance, equipment malfunction (failure to start, failure during working time, etc.), lack of electricity (or other energy source), ICT failure (hardware or software failure, internet, SCADA problems, etc.), cyber-attack, impact due to excavation works (digging, piling), ground works, etc.; commercial/market/financial agreements with third-country suppliers, commercial dispute, control of infrastructure relevant for the security of gas supply by third-country entities, which may imply, among others, risks of underinvestment, undermining diversification or non-respect of Union law, price volatility, underinvestment, sudden, unexpected peak demand, other risks which could lead to structural underperformance; social strikes (in different related sectors, such as the gas sector, ports, transport, etc.), sabotage, vandalism, theft; natural earthquakes, landslides, floods (heavy rain, river), storms (sea), avalanches, extreme weather conditions, fires (external to the facility, like nearby forests, grassland, etc.). identify the relevant risk factors for the Member State, including their likelihood and impact; describe the criteria used to determine whether a system is exposed to high/unacceptable risks; set a list of relevant risk scenarios in accordance with the risk factors and their likelihood and describe how the selection was made.
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Source: EUR-Lex (Cellar) · retrieved 2026-11-01 · Text as adopted (Official Journal); later amendments are not incorporated in this text.